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What is Flood Risk Data? Zones and Depth Grids

What is flood risk data?

Flood risk data is the set of maps and grids that describe where flooding is likely, how deep the water would be, and how often it is expected. It comes as regulatory flood zones, such as FEMA’s Special Flood Hazard Area, and as modeled depth grids for return periods like the 100-year and 500-year flood.

What flood risk data is

Flood risk data expresses flood probability in space. The defining property is a return period: a 100-year flood zone is the area with a 1 percent chance of flooding in any given year, and a 500-year zone has a 0.2 percent chance.

In the United States the regulatory source is FEMA’s National Flood Hazard Layer (NFHL). It maps Zones A and AE (1 percent riverine and coastal), Zone V (coastal with wave action), and Zone X (0.2 percent or minimal risk) as vector polygons.

Modeled flood risk data goes further. Providers such as First Street, Fathom, and JBA produce depth grids at 3 to 30 m resolution for several return periods, covering pluvial, fluvial, and coastal flooding, including areas FEMA has never mapped.

Global public sources include the European Commission’s JRC Global Flood Hazard Maps, with depth grids for return periods from 10 to 500 years at about 1 km.

Observed flood extent is a third class, mapped from satellite imagery after an event.

What flood risk data does

Flood risk data converts a location into a probability and a depth, which is the input every flood decision needs.

Lenders require flood insurance on any mortgaged property inside a FEMA Special Flood Hazard Area, so the zone sets a cost for millions of homeowners.

Insurers price policies and measure portfolio exposure by intersecting insured locations with zones and depth grids, then modeling loss from depth-damage curves.

Real estate investors screen acquisitions and rank a portfolio by expected flood loss under current and future climate scenarios.

Cities and utilities plan drainage, elevate substations, and site critical facilities from depth grids.

Emergency managers pre-position crews by overlaying forecast rainfall on pluvial flood risk data.

Each of these decisions is a spatial join between flood risk data and the assets it concerns.

How flood risk data works

Flood risk data is produced by hydrologic and hydraulic modeling. A digital elevation model supplies the terrain, rainfall or river gauge statistics supply the water, and a hydraulic model routes that water across the terrain to estimate depth and extent for each return period.

Data typeFormExampleResolution
Regulatory zonesVector polygonsFEMA NFHLParcel scale
Modeled depth gridsRaster, one per return periodFirst Street, Fathom, JRC3 m to 1 km
Observed extentVector or raster from imageryCopernicus EMS, Sentinel-110 to 30 m
Historical claimsPoints or tabularNFIP redacted claimsAddress

Zones answer a binary question: in or out. Depth grids answer a continuous one: how deep, and for which return period, which is what a loss model needs.

Resolution sets usefulness. A 1 km global grid places whole neighborhoods in or out; a 3 m grid distinguishes a house on a rise from its neighbor in the swale.

Currency matters as much. FEMA maps are decades old in many counties, and climate-adjusted datasets model 2050 rainfall and sea level.

FEMA delivers through downloads and ArcGIS Feature Services; commercial providers deliver licensed GeoTIFF or GeoParquet packages.

The output of a flood risk analysis is a table of assets with a zone code, a depth per return period, and an expected loss.

Flood risk data in Wherobots

WherobotsDB joins flood risk data to parcels, buildings, and policies in one SQL query, whether the flood layer is a vector zone or a raster depth grid.

The ArcGIS Feature Service reader pulls FEMA’s National Flood Hazard Layer directly from the FEMA REST endpoint, with filter and column pushdown. Zone polygons join to property points or parcel polygons with ST_Intersects.

Depth grids load as out-db rasters with RS_FromPath. RS_Value returns the depth at each property point, and RS_ZonalStats returns the maximum depth inside each parcel or footprint, per return period, in the same query.

The California coastal flood risk notebook in Wherobots Cloud runs this pattern end to end. It intersects parcels with FEMA zones and sums assessed value at risk per city.

A spatial join across millions of policy locations and every zone polygon in a state completes on a single runtime, because WherobotsDB partitions both sides spatially.

Observed flood extent from Sentinel-1 SAR comes from the same engine, so a post-event count of flooded buildings compares directly against the pre-event modeled exposure.

Data stays in the customer’s cloud storage or Iceberg catalog. The Wherobots MCP Server exposes the same tables and functions to Claude Code and other agents, so an underwriter can ask for exposed policies in a county in plain language.

-- Policies inside a FEMA Special Flood Hazard Area plus modeled 100-year depth
SELECT pol.policy_id, z.FLD_ZONE,
       RS_Value(d.rast, pol.geometry) AS depth_100yr_m
FROM policies pol
JOIN fema_nfhl_zones z                  -- read via the ArcGIS Feature Service reader
  ON ST_Intersects(z.geometry, pol.geometry)
LEFT JOIN flood_depth_100yr d           -- out-db GeoTIFF depth grid
  ON RS_Intersects(d.rast, pol.geometry)
WHERE z.FLD_ZONE IN ('A', 'AE', 'AO', 'AH', 'V', 'VE');

Read more from Wherobots

Intersect your portfolio with flood risk data in WherobotsDB on the free tier at cloud.wherobots.com.

Frequently asked questions

What is a 100-year flood zone?

A 100-year flood zone is the area with a 1 percent chance of flooding in any given year, so over a 30-year mortgage the cumulative chance is about 26 percent. In FEMA flood risk data it is the Special Flood Hazard Area, Zones A, AE, V, and VE; the 500-year zone has a 0.2 percent chance.

Where can I get flood risk data?

FEMA publishes the National Flood Hazard Layer free as downloads, a map service, and an ArcGIS REST API. The European Commission’s JRC Global Flood Hazard Maps are free depth grids for the world. Commercial flood risk data with finer resolution and climate scenarios comes from First Street, Fathom, JBA, and others under license.

What is the difference between a flood zone and a flood depth grid?

In flood risk data, a flood zone is a polygon marking whether a location is inside a hazard area for a given return period. A flood depth grid is a raster giving how deep the water would be at each cell for that return period. Zones drive insurance requirements; depth grids drive loss estimates and engineering design.

Is FEMA flood risk data accurate?

FEMA flood risk data is the regulatory standard but has known gaps. Many maps are decades old, most do not model rainfall (pluvial) flooding, and they reflect historical climate only. Studies by First Street and others estimate that millions of properties outside FEMA zones face substantial flood risk, which modeled datasets fill in.